Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Cremonese
23.8%
Draw
62.1%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Cremonese
vs
1.63
Napoli
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-2
14.0%
1-1
10.5%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
3.3%
0-4
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
2-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).