Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.5%
AVS
8.6%
Draw
87.9%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
AVS
vs
3.05
Benfica
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.546.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
13.9%
0-2
13.7%
0-4
10.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-3
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-5
6.5%
1-4
5.0%
1-1
4.1%
1-5
3.1%
0-0
2.8%
1-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).