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AHT: 03CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.8%
Arbroath
26.8%
Draw
21.4%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Arbroath

vs
1.09

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS56.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
4.4%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).