Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Wolfsburg
21.5%
Draw
59.3%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Wolfsburg
vs
2.17
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).