⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 20CSV

01 Mar 2016

Getafe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.0%
Las Palmas
34.5%
Draw
36.5%
Getafe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Las Palmas

vs
0.92

Getafe

Markets

BTTS32.9%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.551.0%
Over 2.524.3%
Over 3.59.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.5%
0-1
16.5%
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).