Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Nurnberg
22.5%
Draw
51.0%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Nurnberg
vs
2.13
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS69.6%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
0-3
4.2%
3-2
3.4%
0-0
3.4%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).