Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Betis
26.0%
Draw
32.1%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Betis
vs
1.28
Celta
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).