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09 May 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.0%
Degerfors
21.8%
Draw
71.2%
Mjällby

Expected Goals (xG)

0.44

Degerfors

vs
1.86

Mjällby

Markets

BTTS30.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.9%
0-2
17.4%
0-0
11.0%
0-3
10.8%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
0-4
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
0-5
1.9%
2-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).