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29 Jun 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Haugesund
23.9%
Draw
44.9%
Kristiansund

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Haugesund

vs
1.64

Kristiansund

Markets

BTTS59.1%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).