Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Carlisle
23.9%
Draw
28.7%
Boreham Wood
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Carlisle
vs
1.45
Boreham Wood
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).