Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Las Palmas
28.9%
Draw
35.7%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Las Palmas
vs
1.18
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).