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01 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.5%
Birmingham
16.8%
Draw
10.8%
Huddersfield

Expected Goals (xG)

2.14

Birmingham

vs
0.66

Huddersfield

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.0%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).