Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.4%
Mainz
25.9%
Draw
21.8%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Mainz
vs
1.00
Hertha
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).