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24 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.5%
Draw
33.5%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Milton Keynes Dons

vs
1.19

Bradford

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).