Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.5%
Lyon
12.3%
Draw
9.2%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.12
Lyon
vs
1.03
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.578.3%
Over 3.559.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
4-1
6.4%
4-0
6.2%
1-0
5.0%
1-1
4.9%
3-2
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
5-1
4.0%
5-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).