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06 Dec 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.1%
Juve Stabia
34.2%
Draw
31.7%
Sudtirol

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Juve Stabia

vs
0.94

Sudtirol

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.9%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.0%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).