Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Malaga
24.1%
Draw
27.2%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Malaga
vs
1.17
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).