Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →1.6%
Hull
3.8%
Draw
94.6%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Hull
vs
4.46
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.596.1%
Over 2.588.0%
Over 3.574.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-4
10.4%
0-3
9.4%
0-5
9.3%
1-4
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
1-5
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
2.9%
2-4
1.9%
2-3
1.7%
2-5
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).