Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Reggiana
29.6%
Draw
32.7%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Reggiana
vs
1.19
Mantova
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).