Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.4%
Paris SG
13.7%
Draw
7.9%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Paris SG
vs
0.66
Clermont
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
3-0
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
5-0
3.6%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).