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AHT: 01CSV

01 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.6%
Angers
24.3%
Draw
52.1%
Marseille

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Angers

vs
1.61

Marseille

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).