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25 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.9%
Aldershot
22.8%
Draw
39.3%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Aldershot

vs
1.90

Solihull

Markets

BTTS72.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.551.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
0-1
3.7%
1-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).