Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.8%
Erzgebirge Aue
24.8%
Draw
59.4%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.80
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).