Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Sochi
19.6%
Draw
63.3%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Sochi
vs
2.51
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-3
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-4
3.7%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).