Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Magdeburg
23.7%
Draw
50.8%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Magdeburg
vs
1.98
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).