Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.5%
Alcorcon
24.2%
Draw
55.3%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Alcorcon
vs
1.65
Almeria
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).