Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
18.6%
Draw
13.8%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.83
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).