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DHT: 11

10 Aug 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.3%
Yverdon Sport
23.1%
Draw
56.6%
Holker Old Boys

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Yverdon Sport

vs
2.22

Holker Old Boys

Markets

BTTS66.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.546.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
2-3
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).