Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.9%
Catanzaro
21.9%
Draw
14.1%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Catanzaro
vs
0.89
Avellino
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).