Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Sheffield Weds
22.9%
Draw
63.9%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.88
Norwich
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.6%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).