Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Betis
23.2%
Draw
26.3%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Betis
vs
1.31
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).