Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
24.4%
Draw
55.7%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
1.83
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-2
9.7%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.0%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
2-3
3.1%
2-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).