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30 Mar 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.4%
Katowice
28.1%
Draw
22.6%
Górnik Zabrze

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Katowice

vs
0.95

Górnik Zabrze

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).