Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Empoli
26.4%
Draw
25.9%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Empoli
vs
1.19
Mantova
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).