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DHT: 11

17 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.1%
Polissya Zhytomyr
18.0%
Draw
6.9%
Inhulets

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Polissya Zhytomyr

vs
0.47

Inhulets

Markets

BTTS32.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
17.0%
1-0
16.2%
3-0
11.7%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-1
7.9%
4-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.5%
2-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).