Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Como
24.6%
Draw
16.0%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Como
vs
0.85
Ternana
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).