Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Famalicao
21.9%
Draw
29.2%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Famalicao
vs
1.37
Estoril
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).