Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Nantes
26.7%
Draw
32.7%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Nantes
vs
1.08
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).