Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Cadiz
22.9%
Draw
48.0%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Cadiz
vs
1.79
Santander
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).