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06 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.9%
Peterboro
30.1%
Draw
53.9%
Barnsley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.51

Peterboro

vs
1.21

Barnsley

Markets

BTTS27.6%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.550.8%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
22.1%
0-0
17.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-0
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).