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17 Feb 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.3%
Troyes
25.8%
Draw
22.9%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Troyes

vs
0.80

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS39.9%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).