Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Salford
21.5%
Draw
21.2%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Salford
vs
1.05
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).