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15 Feb 2026 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.8%
Sint-Truiden
20.8%
Draw
20.4%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Sint-Truiden

vs
1.23

Waregem

Markets

BTTS63.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).