Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.4%
Barcelona
8.3%
Draw
4.3%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
3.66
Barcelona
vs
0.82
Elche
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.582.4%
Over 3.565.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
4-0
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-1
7.0%
2-1
6.2%
5-0
6.2%
5-1
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
1-1
3.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).