Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Lugano
31.0%
Draw
34.2%
St. Gallen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Lugano
vs
1.28
St. Gallen
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).