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03 Dec 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.7%
Wolves
32.7%
Draw
40.6%
Nott'm Forest

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Wolves

vs
1.22

Nott'm Forest

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.1%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
12.2%
1-0
9.0%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).