Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Chesterfield
24.0%
Draw
29.5%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Chesterfield
vs
1.20
Walsall
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).