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AHT: 01CSV

01 May 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Virtus Entella
31.6%
Draw
30.6%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Virtus Entella

vs
1.03

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).