Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Barnsley
19.6%
Draw
51.6%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Barnsley
vs
2.10
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS67.9%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
4.8%
0-3
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).