Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Bolton
23.7%
Draw
28.5%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Bolton
vs
1.09
Reading
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).